Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001593 0.001656 0.001722 0.001795 0.001874 0.001957 0.002051
2025-07-27 0.001500 0.001593 0.001692 0.001807 0.001937 0.002082 0.002257
2025-08-03 0.001418 0.001527 0.001649 0.001794 0.001966 0.002164 0.002416
2025-08-10 0.001368 0.001493 0.001634 0.001808 0.002020 0.002276 0.002617
2025-08-17 0.001316 0.001450 0.001604 0.001798 0.002043 0.002347 0.002771
2025-08-24 0.001267 0.001406 0.001570 0.001780 0.002050 0.002397 0.002898
2025-08-31 0.001250 0.001400 0.001578 0.001813 0.002123 0.002536 0.003163
2025-09-07 0.001223 0.001379 0.001568 0.001820 0.002161 0.002629 0.003372
2025-09-14 0.001188 0.001346 0.001539 0.001801 0.002162 0.002670 0.003503
2025-09-21 0.001152 0.001311 0.001507 0.001775 0.002150 0.002688 0.003600
2025-09-28 0.001124 0.001284 0.001484 0.001760 0.002152 0.002727 0.003735
2025-10-05 0.001080 0.001236 0.001431 0.001702 0.002090 0.002663 0.003681
2025-10-12 0.001059 0.001217 0.001416 0.001696 0.002103 0.002718 0.003854
2025-10-19 0.001045 0.001207 0.001413 0.001707 0.002141 0.002815 0.004120
2025-10-26 0.001024 0.001187 0.001395 0.001695 0.002145 0.002858 0.004288
2025-11-02 0.001014 0.001180 0.001394 0.001707 0.002185 0.002966 0.004610
2025-11-09 0.000996 0.001163 0.001380 0.001699 0.002193 0.003016 0.004818
2025-11-16 0.000976 0.001142 0.001360 0.001682 0.002186 0.003040 0.004972
2025-11-23 0.000974 0.001145 0.001371 0.001712 0.002256 0.003210 0.005525
2025-11-30 0.000964 0.001137 0.001368 0.001718 0.002287 0.003311 0.005938
2025-12-07 0.000946 0.001119 0.001349 0.001702 0.002279 0.003334 0.006135
2025-12-14 0.000927 0.001098 0.001327 0.001678 0.002257 0.003328 0.006245
2025-12-21 0.000913 0.001083 0.001311 0.001665 0.002252 0.003356 0.006471